Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001025 0.001168 0.001311 0.001465 0.001626 0.001788 0.001963
2025-11-23 0.000800 0.001005 0.001218 0.001453 0.001704 0.001962 0.002246
2025-11-30 0.000669 0.000923 0.001195 0.001503 0.001837 0.002186 0.002574
2025-12-07 0.000521 0.000808 0.001125 0.001492 0.001898 0.002327 0.002810
2025-12-14 0.000385 0.000689 0.001039 0.001456 0.001925 0.002426 0.002996
2025-12-21 0.000307 0.000630 0.001016 0.001485 0.002018 0.002594 0.003253
2025-12-28 0.000214 0.000538 0.000947 0.001454 0.002040 0.002681 0.003418
2026-01-04 0.000153 0.000479 0.000911 0.001458 0.002099 0.002804 0.003620
2026-01-11 0.000096 0.000415 0.000862 0.001443 0.002132 0.002897 0.003786
2026-01-18 0.000054 0.000360 0.000820 0.001433 0.002168 0.002989 0.003950
2026-01-25 0.000013 0.000281 0.000739 0.001369 0.002138 0.003006 0.004027
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000230 0.000690 0.001343 0.002151 0.003068 0.004153
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000178 0.000646 0.001336 0.002203 0.003197 0.004378
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000133 0.000606 0.001333 0.002263 0.003335 0.004617
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000115 0.000608 0.001387 0.002391 0.003554 0.004948
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000078 0.000568 0.001381 0.002443 0.003684 0.005178
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000040 0.000512 0.001348 0.002461 0.003772 0.005359
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000026 0.000501 0.001377 0.002555 0.003949 0.005641
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000006 0.000452 0.001348 0.002574 0.004036 0.005817
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.000428 0.001352 0.002634 0.004170 0.006047
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000394 0.001339 0.002669 0.004272 0.006239
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000363 0.001328 0.002707 0.004378 0.006433
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000304 0.001267 0.002675 0.004397 0.006526